Orioles activate P Hernandez
Baseball Betting Lines
09/07/2010 - Bronx, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Baltimore Orioles have reinstated pitcher David Hernandez from the 15-day disabled list.
He was placed on the DL August 5 with a left ankle sprain.
The right-hander is 4-3 with two saves and a 3.29 earned run average over 33 appearances this season, including eight starts.
The Orioles also recalled left-hand pitchers Troy Patton from Triple-A Norfolk and Pedro Viola from Double-A Bowie.
Orlando, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Orlando Magic on Tuesday named former NBA player Adonal Foyle as the team's director of player development. The 35-year-old Foyle retired in August following a 13-year career. He was originally selec
<< Cal Poly, UC Davis to join Big Sky Conference
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The much-rumored talk of the Big Sky
Conference losing the University of Montana, and perhaps other schools, took
on another twist Tuesday.
Big Sky football is expanding.
One of the top conferences in t
<< Montero helping Sounders FC across the river
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With a record of 12-7-11, a playoff spot as the Western
Conference's No. 3 seed, a U.S. Open Cup Championship, and almost half-a-
million in paid attendance, Seattle Sounders FC was coming off one of the
most successf
<< Devils, Kovalchuk finally seal the deal
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It was anything but a smooth process, but
Ilya Kovalchuk and the New Jersey Devils were finally able to consummate their
long summer courtship in the early morning hours this past Saturday.
Two months afte
<< Dolphins GM Ireland takes over full club operations
Davie, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Miami Dolphins have announced that
general manager Jeff Ireland will assume full control over all aspects of the
football team and support staff, effective immediately.
Bill Parcells, who had be
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Every year following the running of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile the winner of the race is automatically declared the early favorite for the next year's Kentucky Derby. Street Sense is the only thoroug
White Sox recall Viciedo and Torres >>
Detroit, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Chicago White recalled infielder Dayan
Viciedo and pitcher Carlos Torres from Triple-A Charlotte on Tuesday.
Viciedo, 21, appeared in 27 games earlier this season with the major league
club and hit
Habs ink Halpern >>
Montreal, QC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Montreal Canadiens have signed
veteran forward Jeff Halpern to a one-year contract.
As per team policy, no terms of the deal were announced.
The 34-year-old Halpern split last season betwe
Scola leads Argentina past Brazil to gain FIBA quarters >>
Istanbul, Turkey (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Luis Scola continued a blistering scoring
clip with 37 points on 14-of-20 shooting as Argentina edged Brazil, 93-89, to
gain a quarterfinal berth in a thrilling South American showdown at the 2010
FIBA Wo
Wild F Sheppard out indefinitely >>
St. Paul, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Minnesota Wild center James Sheppard will be
out indefinitely after suffering a fractured left patella.
The Wild announced Tuesday that the 22-year-old sustained the injury during
non-hockey related activ
Academy Award Betting Odds for Best Picture Offer Great Value
If there is any category that is not an obvious win for any one nominee in this year's Academy Awards, it would be for Best Picture. Sure the Departed is a 5/7 favorite, but that's hardly anything when we look at Helen Mirren and her "out-of-reach" 1 to 40 odds (which means you would win a whopping $1 for every $40 bet).
For value, take a look at MySportsbook.com Oscars betting odds on my personal favorite, The Queen - a remarkable 12 to 1 long shot. The film hasn't won any pre-awards for Best Picture (compared to The Departed and Little Miss Sunshine), but there is a tremendous following and it is a strong enough film to warrant a surprise win.
TV Guide advises Oscar watchers should be cautioned not to discount the drama "Babel" with its strong social themes about overcoming communication gaps among people of different cultures.
"While 'Babel' lost several guild awards to 'Sunshine' and 'Departed,' it still enjoys loyal support, and historically Oscar voters favor dramas with social messages over comedies like 'Sunshine' and violent crime movies like 'Departed'."
"It hasn't done well in the guilds, which means there isn't much industry support," said Tom O'Neil of awards site TheEnvelope.com, "But several critics are expecting it to win, and that gets my attention." Babel had 7 to 2 odds at press time.
Who is to say independently produced Little Miss Sunshine won't be this year's Crash. Last year, Crash won for Best Motion Picture, shocking those who bet on gay cowboy flick, Brokeback Mountain, as the favorite to win.
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Sportsbook Betting Lines
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Why Sports Betting Lines Change
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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